Diseases and Conditions > Influenza (Flu) > PA Influenza Weekly Report
PA Influenza Activity - 2012/13 Season
 
               Week 17 (04/21/13- 04/27/2013)
 
    This webpage is updated weekly, on Tuesdays.

 

LOCAL

Influenza activity has come down to near baseline levels in all but the western part of the state. Therefore, current activity is characterized as "local"

ILI is defined as patients presenting with fever over 100*F, cough and/or sore throat in the absence of a known cause other than influenza.

 

The state flu activity status is determined by examining reports of lab-confirmed influenza, clusters or outbreaks of influenza in institutional settings, outpatient doctor visits attributed to influenza-like illness and the number of emergency department visits at Pennsylvania hospitals. The flu activity code is based on the following CDC definitions.

 

  • NO ACTIVITY: No laboratory-confirmed cases of influenza and no reported increase in the number of cases of ILI.
  • SPORADIC: Small numbers of laboratory-confirmed influenza cases or a single laboratory-confirmed influenza outbreak has been reported, but there is no increase in cases of ILI.
  • LOCAL: Outbreaks of influenza or increases in ILI cases and recent laboratory-confirmed influenza in a single region of the state. 
  • REGIONAL: Outbreaks of influenza or increases in ILI cases and recent laboratory confirmed influenza in at least two but less than half the regions of the state with recent laboratory evidence of influenza in those regions.
  • WIDESPREAD: Outbreaks of influenza or increases in ILI cases and recent laboratory-confirmed influenza in at least half the regions of the state with recent laboratory evidence of influenza in the state.
 

Laboratory-confirmed cases represent only a fraction of the total public health burden of influenza, as most persons with the flu (even those who seek healthcare) are diagnosed presumptively and do not have lab tests performed to determine the cause of illness.  We estimate that between 5 and 10 percent of the population gets the flu each year, which for Pennsylvania represents 600,000-1.3 million persons annually.  CDC estimates suggest that 180-2,000 Pennsylvanians die of flu related complications every year, with most of these deaths occurring in those over 65 years of age.

Summary of flu activity in Pennsylvania during week 17:
Weekly numbers are reconciled on a regular basis to account for data entry errors, late reporting, exclusion on non-PA residents and inclusion of PA residents who are diagnosed with influenza out of state. The numbers below reflect what had been reported as of week 17, ending April 27, 2013. 
          ·       Flu-related Emergency Department (ED) visits are now down to baseline in all regions of the state. However, the season is not yet over - flu related illnesses, hospitalizations and deaths continue to be reported in all regions of the state.        

·        0.9% of outpatient doctor-visits reported by sentinel physicians during week 17 were attributed to ILI, down from 1% reported during week 16 and below baseline (2.4%). Pennsylvania Department of Health works with a network of 145 sentinel physicians across the state (pediatricians, family medicine and colleges) to track the proportion of flu-like illness seen in outpatient settings weekly. Sentinel providers have an agreement with the state lab to submit samples year-round, and the state uses test results from these submissions to monitor influenza viruses that are circulating in the commonwealth throughout the year. Providers may join the sentinel network by contact Dr. Owen Simwale at owsimwale@pa.gov.  

·       147 flu cases were reported during week 17, down from 308 cases (adjusted for late reporting) reported during week 16. Influenza cases continue to be reported in all age groups and regions of the state. Altogether, 44,308 lab positive cases have been reported season-to-date. 

·    Influenza viruses were detected in 7% of respiratory samples that were submitted to the state lab for confirmatory testing during week 17, down from 10% positivity reported during week 16. The positivity of respiratory samples is a proxy for disease prevalence - an estimate of how much of the flu-like illnesses we are seeing is actually caused by flu viruses. Because influenza was only detected in less than a tenth (<10%) of all persons presenting with ILI, for whom respiratory specimens were submitted to the state lab last week, other respiratory viruses should be considered as possible causes of influenza in persons presenting with flu-like symptoms. It should also be noted that as the prevalence of influenza goes down, rapid diagnostic test kits do not perform as well. Therefore, more accurate tests, including rt-PCR and culture, should now be used for influenza diagnostic testing.

                    * The Pennsylvania Department of Health is closely following the outbreak on avian H7N9 in China. At this time, no human infections with this virus have been detected in the United States. PADOH has enhanced surveillance for influenza in persons returning from China, to make sure that any 'imported infection with H7N9" is promptly detected and controlled. The most current CDC guidance on H7N9 is posted at, http://www.cdc.gov/flu/avianflu/h7n9-virus.htm.*

·    Other respiratory viruses that are co-circulating with influenza at this time include, respiratory synctial virus (RSV), rhinovirus, adenovirus, parainfluenza viruses and coronavirus. Coronavirues are known to cause a majority of common colds in humans. Further information on coronaviruses, including differences between flu and these viruses, can be found at http://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/about/index.html.

·    A majority (>90%) of circulating flu viruses, at this time, continue to be influenza type B. It is typical to see an increase in influenza type B viruses after peak season, as the season winds down. Influenza type B viruses generally cause milder illness than type A viruses, but can still result in serious complications. A majority (80%) of circulating influenza type B viruses are covered by the current vaccine and recent vaccine effectiveness data shows that the current vaccine gives much better protection against flu type B viruses than type A viruses (70% vs. 47%).

·        A majority (>90%) of circulating influenza type A viruses continue to be the A/H3N2 subtype, a strain that generally causes severe illness in older age groups. A majority (99%) of circulating viruses (A/H3/N2, H1N1 and flu type B) are similar to strains included in this year's influenza vaccine. Even though recent data shows that the elderly did not mount effective immunity from the vaccine, vaccination remains the best protection we have against influenza. Influenza vaccination prevents up to 50% influenza illness in persons under 65 years of age which in turn reduces the likelihood of transmission to older persons. Further, vaccination is known to reduce the duration and severity of illness - if a vaccinated person gets the flu. Because there is still a lot of flu activity and the season is not over, it is still not too late to get vaccinated against influenza.

·       The state lab can now monitor influenza viruses for sensitivity to antiviral medications. Nearly all viruses tested so far are sensitive to current antiviral medications. During week 7, the state lab detected an influenza A/H1N1 virus which was resistant to Tamiflu. No additional viruses of this nature have been detected in Pennsylvania; suggesting that nearly all circulating A/H1N1 viruses remain sensitive to Tamiflu.

·        17 flu-related hospitalizations were reported during week 17, down from 21 hospitalizations reported during week 16. Altogether, 3,686 hospitalizations have been reported season-to-date. The median age of hospitalizations is 80 years (range 0 to 99) years. While the overall number of hospitalizations has plateaued, the proportion of elderly among those hospitalized has increased. The elderly currently account for 22% of all reported cases but nearly 70% of all reported hospitalizations.

·      Altogether, 490 outbreaks of influenza in long term care facilities have been reported this season.  A majority of these outbreaks have since resolved; but they involved over 3000 illnesses, more than 100 hospitalizations and about 150 deaths among Pennsylvania seniors. This is further evidence of the impact influenza can have on the elderly. Vaccinating employees and residents of long term care facilities, along with infection control practices, can limit the impact of influenza. A list of Pennsylvania hospitals and long term care facilities with >90% influenza vaccine coverage among employees can be found at, http://www.portal.state.pa.us/portal/server.pt?open=514&objID=1008994&mode=2.

·      Ten influenza-related deaths were reported last week. Altogether, 200 flu-related deaths have been reported season-to-date. A majority (>85%) of reported deaths are among the elderly (persons >65 years of age).


Lab positive flu cases reported in Pennsylvania this season (as of week 17) compared to the last 6 seasons 
 
 

 
Flu-related Emergency Department Visits over the last 6 months, as of April 27, 2013
 

 Lab positive flu cases reported in Pennsylvania this season by week, 10/10/12 - 04/27/2013 (n=44,308) 
 

 Distribution of flu cases reported in Pennsylvania this season by county, 10/10/12 - 04/13/2013 (n=44,308) 

COUNTY

Total Cases Reported

ADAMS

624

ALLEGHENY

3554

ARMSTRONG

219

BEAVER

427

BEDFORD

247

BERKS

1097

BLAIR

724

BRADFORD

180

BUCKS

1266

BUTLER

942

CAMBRIA

404

CAMERON

29

CARBON

349

CENTRE

826

CHESTER

1261

CLARION

341

CLEARFIELD

264

CLINTON

189

COLUMBIA

152

CRAWFORD

576

CUMBERLAND

863

DAUPHIN

1311

DELAWARE

954

ELK

238

ERIE

1188

FAYETTE

602

FOREST

14

FRANKLIN

709

FULTON

138

GREENE

241

HUNTINGDON

503

INDIANA

374

JEFFERSON

199

JUNIATA

127

LACKAWANNA

442

LANCASTER

1810

LAWRENCE

145

LEBANON

672

LEHIGH

3338

LUZERNE

1232

LYCOMING

404

MCKEAN

250

MERCER

458

MIFFLIN

357

MONROE

315

MONTGOMERY

1949

MONTOUR

1291

NORTHAMPTON

1702

NORTHUMBERLAND

300

PERRY

70

PHILADELPHIA

1443

PIKE

92

POTTER

224

SCHUYLKILL

590

SNYDER

209

SOMERSET

558

SULLIVAN

16

SUSQUEHANNA

53

TIOGA

107

UNION

304

VENANGO

180

WARREN

210

WASHINGTON

1339

WAYNE

69

WESTMORELAND

1461

WYOMING

55

YORK

1373

All

44308


 Lab positive flu cases reported in Pennsylvania by county, 10/10/12 - 04/27/2013 (n=44,308)  

 

 


Lab positive flu cases reported in Pennsylvania by region, 10/10/12 - 04/27/2013 (n=44,308) 
 

 

Lab positive influenza hospitalizations reported in Pennsylvania this season by week, 10/10/12 - 04/15/2013 (n=3,640)

 


Lab positive influenza-related deaths reported in Pennsylvania by county, 10/10/12 - 04/13/2013 (n=200)
 

County

Reported deaths

Adams

1

Allegheny

24

Armstrong

6

Beaver

3

Bedford

3

Berks

1

Blair

2

Bradford

1

Bucks

3

Butler

3

Cambria

3

Centre

3

Chester

4

Clearfield

1

Clinton

1

Crawford

5

Cumberland

5

Dauphin

5

Delaware

4

Elk

2

Erie

9

Fayette

7

Franklin

5

Indiana

1

Jefferson

2

Lancaster

10

Lebanon

2

Lehigh

6

Luzerne

2

Lycoming

5

McKean

1

Mercer

7

Mifflin

1

Montgomery

11

Montour

1

Northampton

4

Northumberland

4

Philadelphia

19

Schuylkill

4

Somerset

5

Venango

2

Warren

2

Washington

1

Westmoreland

6

York

3

 

 
Lab positive influenza-related deaths reported in Pennsylvania by Age Group, 10/10/12 - 04/13/2013 (n=200)   
 

Age group (years)

# of deaths

0 to 4

0

5 to 9

1

10 to 18

2

19 to 24

0

25 to 49

15

50 to 64

14

>65

168

Total

200


Percentage of respiratory samples testing positive for influenza at the state lab weekly, as of week 15
 
 Percentage of respiratory samples testing positive for influenza at the state lab weekly, as of week 15.  
A majority of these samples are from persons seen with influenza in outpatient settings or hospitalized with influenza.
 
Types of respiratory viruses isolated by the state lab, week 15            

 


Types of non-flu respiratory viruses isolated duirng week 15

Types of influenza viruses currently circulating in Pennsylvania, as of week 15
 
 
The data in the chart above is based on viruses detected in samples that were submitted to the state lab duirng week 15.

Useful Links

Pennsylvania Department of Health latest health alerts, http://www.dsf.health.state.pa.us/health/cwp/view.asp?a=171&q=234202&healthRNavrad4A285=|#

US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Weekly Influenza Surveillance Report:
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly
/

Influenza activity in the southern hemisphere can be viewed at, http://www.google.org/flutrends/

US Influenza Sentinel Provider Surveillance submission login page:
http://www2.ncid.cdc.gov/flu/

Pennsylvania Pandemic Influenza Preparedness:
http://www.pandemicflu.state.pa.us